Comments on: Can search data predict the Lisbon Treaty? http://www.leofogarty.com/uncategorized/can-search-data-predict-the-lisbon-treaty.html Fri, 02 Apr 2010 08:51:52 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: sus|Child Psychologist Sydney http://www.leofogarty.com/uncategorized/can-search-data-predict-the-lisbon-treaty.html/comment-page-1#comment-1882 sus|Child Psychologist Sydney Tue, 06 Oct 2009 06:10:02 +0000 http://www.leofogarty.com/?p=737#comment-1882 Very interesting! With missing variables the chances of predicting the outcome exactly is as dynamic as how the information relates together, but this still a very cool way to at least get an idea of the potential direction in which something is headed. thanks for such informative post. Very interesting! With missing variables the chances of predicting the outcome exactly is as dynamic as how the information relates together, but this still a very cool way to at least get an idea of the potential direction in which something is headed. thanks for such informative post.

]]> By: Manhattan http://www.leofogarty.com/uncategorized/can-search-data-predict-the-lisbon-treaty.html/comment-page-1#comment-1817 Manhattan Fri, 02 Oct 2009 18:23:18 +0000 http://www.leofogarty.com/?p=737#comment-1817 You can't really use search data to predict voting because there are other factors you need to consider. For example in the United States, there are liberals and conservatives. In general, the sides are split 50-50. However, there are many, many more liberals online than conservatives, in large part because the conservatives contain many older (computer illiterate) people. They won't be blogging about anything... they'll just vote and appear to come out of nowhere. You can’t really use search data to predict voting because there are other factors you need to consider.

For example in the United States, there are liberals and conservatives. In general, the sides are split 50-50. However, there are many, many more liberals online than conservatives, in large part because the conservatives contain many older (computer illiterate) people. They won’t be blogging about anything… they’ll just vote and appear to come out of nowhere.

]]> By: searchbrat http://www.leofogarty.com/uncategorized/can-search-data-predict-the-lisbon-treaty.html/comment-page-1#comment-1787 searchbrat Thu, 01 Oct 2009 09:56:30 +0000 http://www.leofogarty.com/?p=737#comment-1787 Great post, I did a similar thing with XFactor last year to see how accurate you could predict winners of shows based upon search volume. It actually matched up pretty well, although the actual winner was second most searched in the lead up, so not perfect. Still, Google Trends data is great. Google insights has recently added a forecast section onto some of the searches as well that show you how they predict it to look over the next coming months. Powerful data when looking at affiliate products ;) Great post, I did a similar thing with XFactor last year to see how accurate you could predict winners of shows based upon search volume. It actually matched up pretty well, although the actual winner was second most searched in the lead up, so not perfect.
Still, Google Trends data is great. Google insights has recently added a forecast section onto some of the searches as well that show you how they predict it to look over the next coming months. Powerful data when looking at affiliate products ;)

]]> By: Erin from Ringtone http://www.leofogarty.com/uncategorized/can-search-data-predict-the-lisbon-treaty.html/comment-page-1#comment-1733 Erin from Ringtone Tue, 29 Sep 2009 15:52:34 +0000 http://www.leofogarty.com/?p=737#comment-1733 Very interesting! Of course, with missing variables the chances of predicting the outcome exactly is as dynamic as how the information relates together, but this still a very cool way to at least get an idea of the potential direction in which something is headed. Thanks! Very interesting! Of course, with missing variables the chances of predicting the outcome exactly is as dynamic as how the information relates together, but this still a very cool way to at least get an idea of the potential direction in which something is headed. Thanks!

]]> By: Maracas http://www.leofogarty.com/uncategorized/can-search-data-predict-the-lisbon-treaty.html/comment-page-1#comment-1710 Maracas Mon, 28 Sep 2009 17:15:15 +0000 http://www.leofogarty.com/?p=737#comment-1710 Wow interesting concept, the vote is on October 2nd right? Will have to look out for it. Cheers Wow interesting concept, the vote is on October 2nd right? Will have to look out for it. Cheers

]]> By: JamesM http://www.leofogarty.com/uncategorized/can-search-data-predict-the-lisbon-treaty.html/comment-page-1#comment-1620 JamesM Thu, 24 Sep 2009 13:48:26 +0000 http://www.leofogarty.com/?p=737#comment-1620 A very interesting post, but what sparked it? I only ask because I started reading the new Dan Brown book the other day, and (while some of the technology references are cringe-worthy) there's a character who's a programmer that has created a system to do exactly what what you're describing here... Just coincidence? A very interesting post, but what sparked it? I only ask because I started reading the new Dan Brown book the other day, and (while some of the technology references are cringe-worthy) there’s a character who’s a programmer that has created a system to do exactly what what you’re describing here… Just coincidence?

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